26 Jul · 09:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MB
🇺🇦Maksym Baday
ELO 1903
FormWLLWW
73%Win chancemodel fair 1.37Baday
SA
🇺🇦Serhii Aristarkhov
ELO 1670
FormWWLWW
73%
27%
🌟Baday goes over total as favourite 64% (142)
Fair odds · Baday
Model 73% · 1.37vsMarket 81% · 1.23· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~73 pts
3-0
31%
3-1
26%
3-2
17%
2-3
11%
1-3
10%
Elo Gap+233
H2H38-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+233)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (38-5)