26 Jul · 08:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OZ
🇺🇦Oleksandr Zhyrnov
ELO 1560
FormLLLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Zhyrnov
RS
🇺🇦Ruslan Sopivnyk
ELO 1517
FormWLLWW
55%
45%
🌟Sopivnyk covers set handicap as underdog 62% (58)
Fair odds · Zhyrnov
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~73 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+43
H2H11-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+43)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-5)