26 Jul · 07:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OH
🇺🇦Orest Hura
ELO 1505
FormWWWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Hura
AK
🇺🇦Andrii Kotyk
ELO 1483
FormLWWWW
52%
48%
🌟Hura rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (68)
Fair odds · Hura
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 41% · 2.45· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+22
H2H3-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.