26 Jul · 07:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VD
🇺🇦Volodymyr Dobrovolskyi
ELO 1508
FormWWWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Dobrovolskyi
DK
🇺🇦Denys Kozoriz
ELO 1431
FormLLLLL
58%
42%
🌟Kozoriz stays under total as underdog 69% (54)
Fair odds · Dobrovolskyi
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 69% · 1.44· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~74 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+77
H2H26-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+77)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (26-10)