26 Jul · 07:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TG
🇺🇦Taras Gil
ELO 1576
FormWLWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Gil
MS
🇺🇦Myhailo Styranets
ELO 1537
FormLLWLL
54%
46%
🌟Gil rarely covers set handicap as favourite 26% (23)
Fair odds · Gil
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+39
H2H2-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.