26 Jul · 08:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JM
🇺🇦Jakub Mejzlik
ELO 1467
FormLWLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Hanacek
JH
🇺🇦Josef Hanacek
ELO 1506
FormWWWWW
46%
54%
🔥 Underdog lean · Mejzlik🌟Hanacek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 23% (57)
Fair odds · Hanacek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~79 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+39
H2H9-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.