26 Jul · 06:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VD
🇺🇦Volodymyr Dobrovolskyi
ELO 1508
FormWWWLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Lutsyshyn
OL
🇺🇦Oleh Lutsyshyn
ELO 1597
FormWWLWL
41%
59%
🌟Dobrovolskyi stays under total as underdog 67% (104)
Fair odds · Lutsyshyn
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 76% · 1.31· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~75 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
19%
0-3
18%
3-1
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+89
H2H15-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+89)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-2)