26 Jul · 09:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RS
🇺🇦Ruslan Sopivnyk
ELO 1517
FormWLLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Sopivnyk
YH
🇺🇦Yevhenii Holoborodko
ELO 1480
FormWWLLW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Sopivnyk
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 43% · 2.31· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~73 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+37
H2H8-19
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.