26 Jul · 08:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RM
🇺🇦Roman Merkl
ELO 1580
FormLWWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Merkl
TB
🇺🇦Tadeas Bertho
ELO 1508
FormLLLLL
58%
42%
🔥 Underdog lean · Bertho🌟Bertho covers set handicap as underdog 64% (74)
Fair odds · Merkl
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~74 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+72
H2H6-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+72)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-2)