26 Jul · 07:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AS
🇺🇦Anton Shypilov
ELO 1371
FormWLLLL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Kovalchuk
NK
🇺🇦Nazar Kovalchuk
ELO 1514
FormLWLLW
35%
65%
🔥 Underdog lean · Shypilov🌟Kovalchuk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (90)
Fair odds · Kovalchuk
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~76 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
18%
3-2
13%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+143
H2H25-20
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+143)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (25-20)