26 Jul · 08:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SP
🇺🇦Serhii Prus
ELO 1536
FormLWLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Gil
TG
🇺🇦Taras Gil
ELO 1576
FormWLWWW
46%
54%
🔥 Underdog lean · Prus🌟Gil rarely covers set handicap as favourite 26% (23)
Fair odds · Gil
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+40
H2H13-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.