26 Jul · 08:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BZ
🇺🇦Bohdan Zaika
ELO 1471
FormLWLLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Tymofeev
OT
🇺🇦Oleksandr Tymofeev
ELO 1551
FormWLLLL
42%
58%
Fair odds · Tymofeev
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+80
H2H35-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+80)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (35-16)