26 Jul · 07:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MT
🇺🇦Mikhail Taranko
ELO 1471
FormWWWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Bertho
TB
🇺🇦Tadeas Bertho
ELO 1508
FormLLLLL
46%
54%
🌟Taranko covers set handicap as underdog 65% (20)
Fair odds · Bertho
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
17%
Elo Gap+37
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.