26 Jul · 09:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VD
🇺🇦Volodymyr Dobrovolskyi
ELO 1508
FormWWWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Styranets
MS
🇺🇦Myhailo Styranets
ELO 1537
FormLLWLL
47%
53%
🌟Dobrovolskyi stays under total as underdog 67% (104)
Fair odds · Styranets
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 38% · 2.66· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+29
H2H2-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.