27 Jul · 08:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VS
🇺🇦Vasiliy Smyk
ELO 1446
FormLWWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Mytsyk
OM
🇺🇦Oleksandr Mytsyk
ELO 1463
FormLWLLL
48%
52%
🌟Mytsyk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (117)
Fair odds · Mytsyk
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~73 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+17
H2H30-26
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.