27 Jul · 09:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VK
🇺🇦Volodymyr Khyzhnyak
ELO 1275
FormWWWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Novik
DN
🇺🇦Dmytro Novik
ELO 1344
FormLLLWL
43%
57%
🌟Khyzhnyak stays under total as underdog 68% (22)
Fair odds · Novik
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+69
H2H9-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+69)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-4)