27 Jul · 09:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DP
🇺🇦Dmytro Prylepa
ELO 1491
FormWLLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Prylepa
DK
🇺🇦Dmitro Kuzmenko
ELO 1450
FormLWWLL
54%
46%
🌟Prylepa rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (103)
Fair odds · Prylepa
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+41
H2H47-24
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.