27 Jul · 09:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OM
🇺🇦Oleh Maksymkiv
ELO 1424
FormWWLWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Maslovskyi
OM
🇺🇦Oleksandr Maslovskyi
ELO 1427
FormLLLWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Maslovskyi
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 76% · 1.31· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+3
H2H6-42
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.