27 Jul · 09:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
YP
🇺🇦Yurii Parahailo
ELO 1525
FormLWLWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Parahailo
RN
🇺🇦Ruslan Novak
ELO 1524
FormWWLWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Parahailo
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+1
H2H44-35
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.