27 Jul · 07:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OM
🇺🇦Oleh Maksymkiv
ELO 1424
FormWWLWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Melnyk
YM
🇺🇦Yuriy Melnyk
ELO 1499
FormWWWWW
42%
58%
Fair odds · Melnyk
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 35% · 2.82· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+75
H2H0-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+75)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)