27 Jul · 09:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JM
🇺🇦Jakub Mejzlik
ELO 1493
FormLWWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Hanacek
JH
🇺🇦Josef Hanacek
ELO 1516
FormWWWLW
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Mejzlik🌟Hanacek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 26% (61)
Fair odds · Hanacek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~79 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+23
H2H10-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.