27 Jul · 10:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
YP
🇺🇦Yurii Parahailo
ELO 1525
FormLWLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Parahailo
VI
🇺🇦Volodymyr Ivasiv
ELO 1483
FormLLWLW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Parahailo
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+42
H2H63-43
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.