27 Jul · 09:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AT
🇺🇦Andrey Troyan
ELO 1577
FormWWLWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Troyan
SH
🇺🇦Stepan Hryhorenko
ELO 1488
FormLLWLW
59%
41%
Fair odds · Troyan
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~75 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
19%
3-0
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+89
H2H6-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+89)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-1)