27 Jul · 09:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Syksa
ELO 1530
FormWLLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Kurylenko
OK
🇺🇦Oleh Kurylenko
ELO 1533
FormLLLLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Kurylenko
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+3
H2H48-69
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.