27 Jul · 07:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DK
🇺🇦Dmitro Kuzmenko
ELO 1450
FormLWWLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Kurylenko
OK
🇺🇦Oleh Kurylenko
ELO 1533
FormLLLLL
41%
59%
Fair odds · Kurylenko
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+83
H2H75-40
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+83)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (75-40)