27 Jul · 10:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
KK
🇺🇦Kostiantyn Klymenko
ELO 1481
FormWWWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Klymenko
OO
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ovsiienko
ELO 1472
FormWLWLL
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Ovsiienko
Fair odds · Klymenko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+9
H2H7-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.