27 Jul · 07:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
YP
🇺🇦Yurii Parahailo
ELO 1525
FormLWLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kolos
YK
🇺🇦Yurii Kolos
ELO 1542
FormWLLWW
48%
52%
🌟Kolos stays under total as favourite 83% (12)
Fair odds · Kolos
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~73 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+17
H2H4-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.