27 Jul · 08:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DS
🇺🇦Dmytro Shchegelskyi
ELO 1516
FormLWWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Shchegelskyi
VI
🇺🇦Volodymyr Ivasiv
ELO 1483
FormLLWLW
54%
46%
🔥 Underdog lean · Ivasiv🌟Shchegelskyi rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (64)
Fair odds · Shchegelskyi
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 55% · 1.81· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+33
H2H54-44
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.