27 Jul · 06:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OM
🇺🇦Oleh Maksymkiv
ELO 1424
FormWWLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Treschetka
MT
🇺🇦Mykolay Treschetka
ELO 1478
FormWLWWW
44%
56%
🔥 Underdog lean · Maksymkiv🌟Treschetka rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (35)
Fair odds · Treschetka
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+54
H2H47-29
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+54)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (47-29)