27 Jul · 10:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DB
🇺🇦Dmitriy Belanchik
ELO 1404
FormLWWLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Treschetka
MT
🇺🇦Mykolay Treschetka
ELO 1478
FormWLWWW
42%
58%
🌟Treschetka rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (35)
Fair odds · Treschetka
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~74 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+74
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+74)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)