27 Jul · 09:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OM
🇺🇦Oleksandr Mytsyk
ELO 1463
FormLWLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Mytsyk
VM
🇺🇦Volodymyr Melnykov
ELO 1433
FormWLLLW
53%
47%
🌟Mytsyk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (117)
Fair odds · Mytsyk
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+30
H2H34-23
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.