27 Jul · 08:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OA
🇺🇦Oleksandr Alieksieev
ELO 1625
FormWLWLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Alieksieev
YK
🇺🇦Yurii Kolos
ELO 1542
FormWLLWW
59%
41%
Fair odds · Alieksieev
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~72 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+83
H2H0-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+83)