27 Jul · 09:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MV
🇺🇦Miroslav Vana
ELO 1456
FormLWLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Mejzlik
JM
🇺🇦Jakub Mejzlik
ELO 1493
FormLWWWL
46%
54%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vana🌟Vana covers set handicap as underdog 62% (24)
Fair odds · Mejzlik
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 29% · 3.39· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+37
H2H0-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.