27 Jul · 10:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SS
🇺🇦Sergii Skhabitskiy
ELO 1526
FormWLWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Skhabitskiy
OM
🇺🇦Oleksandr Mytsyk
ELO 1463
FormLWLLL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Skhabitskiy
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 38% · 2.66· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+63
H2H40-105
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+63)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)