27 Jul · 07:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MV
🇺🇦Miroslav Vana
ELO 1456
FormLWLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Hanacek
JH
🇺🇦Josef Hanacek
ELO 1516
FormWWWLW
44%
56%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vana🌟Hanacek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 26% (61)
Fair odds · Hanacek
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~79 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+60
H2H3-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+60)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)