27 Jul · 06:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MK
🇺🇦Mykhailo Khalenko
ELO 1476
FormWLWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Khalenko
OO
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ovsiienko
ELO 1472
FormWLWLL
50%
50%
🌟Khalenko stays under total as favourite 75% (28)
Fair odds · Khalenko
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+4
H2H15-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.