27 Jul · 09:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MK
🇺🇦Mykhailo Khalenko
ELO 1476
FormWLWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Khalenko
OL
🇺🇦Oleksandr Leonenko
ELO 1423
FormLWLLL
56%
44%
🌟Khalenko stays under total as favourite 75% (28)
Fair odds · Khalenko
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 38% · 2.66· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+53
H2H3-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+53)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)