27 Jul · 11:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Syksa
ELO 1530
FormWLLLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Syksa
DK
🇺🇦Dmitro Kuzmenko
ELO 1450
FormLWWLL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Syksa
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+80
H2H71-30
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+80)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (71-30)