27 Jul · 10:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JS
🇺🇦Jan Seeman
ELO 1463
FormLLWLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Hanacek
JH
🇺🇦Josef Hanacek
ELO 1516
FormWWWLW
44%
56%
🔥 Underdog lean · Seeman🌟Hanacek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 26% (61)
Fair odds · Hanacek
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+53
H2H13-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+53)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-10)