27 Jul · 09:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
OA
🇺🇦Oleksandr Alieksieev
ELO 1625
FormWLWLL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Alieksieev
DS
🇺🇦Dmytro Shchegelskyi
ELO 1516
FormLWWLW
61%
39%
Fair odds · Alieksieev
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~75 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
21%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+109
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+109)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)