28 Jul · 12:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Miroshnychenko
ELO 1468
FormLWWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Maliuk
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Maliuk
ELO 1546
FormWWWWL
42%
58%
Fair odds · Maliuk
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+78
H2H35-23
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+78)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (35-23)