28 Jul · 06:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
OZ
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ziakun
ELO 1442
FormLLWLW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Maliuk
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Maliuk
ELO 1546
FormWWWWL
39%
61%
🌟Ziakun covers set handicap as underdog 64% (108)
Fair odds · Maliuk
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~80 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+104
H2H23-23
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+104)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)