28 Jul · 06:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AZ
🇺🇦Andrii Zeniuk
ELO 1718
FormLLLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Zeniuk
VV
🇺🇦Vasily Verbyany
ELO 1689
FormLWWWW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Zeniuk
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 25% · 4.00· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+29
H2H3-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.