28 Jul · 09:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VH
🇺🇦Vadym Hryban
ELO 1779
FormWLWWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Hryban
VV
🇺🇦Vasily Verbyany
ELO 1689
FormLWWWW
59%
41%
Fair odds · Hryban
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
19%
3-0
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+90
H2H58-33
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+90)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (58-33)