28 Jul · 08:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
BK
🇺🇦Bohdan Kohut
ELO 1677
FormLLLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Verbyany
VV
🇺🇦Vasily Verbyany
ELO 1689
FormLWWWW
49%
51%
🌟Verbyany rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (27)
Fair odds · Verbyany
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+12
H2H42-46
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.