28 Jul · 07:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Syksa
ELO 1526
FormWLWLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Syksa
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Miroshnychenko
ELO 1468
FormLWWLW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Syksa
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+58
H2H58-29
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+58)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (58-29)