28 Jul · 08:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OZ
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ziakun
ELO 1442
FormLLWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Miroshnychenko
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Miroshnychenko
ELO 1468
FormLWWLW
47%
53%
🌟Ziakun covers set handicap as underdog 64% (108)
Fair odds · Miroshnychenko
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 34% · 2.96· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~81 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+26
H2H19-49
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.