28 Jul · 07:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VK
🇺🇦Vasily Kondratenko
ELO 1412
FormWLWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Semenets
SS
🇺🇦Serhii Semenets
ELO 1424
FormWLWLW
49%
51%
🌟Semenets rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (82)
Fair odds · Semenets
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+12
H2H6-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.