28 Jul · 09:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OZ
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ziakun
ELO 1442
FormLLWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Kurylenko
OK
🇺🇦Oleh Kurylenko
ELO 1508
FormLLLLL
43%
57%
🌟Ziakun covers set handicap as underdog 64% (108)
Fair odds · Kurylenko
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~80 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+66
H2H47-28
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+66)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (47-28)