28 Jul · 08:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AZ
🇺🇦Andrii Zeniuk
ELO 1718
FormLLLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Molochko
AM
🇺🇦Anton Molochko
ELO 1765
FormWWWLL
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Zeniuk🌟Zeniuk covers set handicap as underdog 63% (52)
Fair odds · Molochko
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 76% · 1.31· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+47
H2H2-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+47)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)